French Presidential Elections Forecast Model - 2017 2nd Round
An application of WMI Consulting's French 2017 Presidential Elections Model.
I wanted to share with you my own conclusions on what the main drivers of the French Presidential 2nd Elections Results will be, after having downloaded, analysed and inputed my own figures in https://www.eloquens.com/profile/wmi-strategy-consulting 's model (you can find the original model to download above).
According to me, the main indicators to watch for are the cells highlighted in yellow in the excel file:
- the % of first round Macron voters who will vote again for him in the second round
- the % of Fillon voters who will vote for Le Pen
- the % of Fillon voters who will not show up for the vote, or vote blank
- the % of Mélenchon voters who will not show up for the vote, or vote blank
- the % of Dupont-Aignan voters who will vote for Le Pen
Conclusion: Macron should win 53,1% vs 46,9%
Agree? Disagree? Publish your own version of this model with your figures (or an improved model) on Eloquens: https://www.eloquens.com/digital-platform-for-self-publishing
This business tool includes
1 Excel Application Model
Timothée Demoures offers you this business tool for free!
download for free
Add to bookmarks
- No review yet!
People using this tool also downloaded
French Presidential Elections 2017 - Simulator 2nd round resultsModèle facile d'emploi (excel) pour simuler les résultats du 2ème tour (7 mai 2017)modelelectionsvotingpredictionsemmanuel macronmarine le penbettingpresidentialsimulationfrance1,155 remove_red_eye
Cash Model Template for StartupsTemplate to forecast your startup's cash expenditure, cash-flow as well as downside potential.modelforecaststartuptemplateexcelcashflowfree1,033 remove_red_eyefreeby Tim Raybould
Cash flow forecast + Supplementary Personal Survival budget Excel templateCalculates the expected amount of money going in and paying out for your business over a period of time.projectionmodelforecaststartuptemplateexcelcashflowcf1,546 remove_red_eye
Pickup Models Excel TemplateA tool for forecasting the demand for the next periods.forecastforecastingadditive pickupmultiplicative pickuppickuprevenue managementyield managementNew!
How to Fill in a Financial Model TemplateThis how to methodology will teach you how to forecast your startup in a financial model template.goalsmodelforecastfinancial modelstartuptemplatenumbersinputfigures14 remove_red_eye
Personnel Forecast Excel Model TemplateHow to create detailed headcount forecasts using excelmodelexpensesforecasttemplateexceloperating expensesemployeesstaffwagespersonnel86 remove_red_eyefreeby Ben Murray
Time Series Analysis Excel TemplateTool used for forecasting demand for the next periods.forecastforecastingtrendtimeadditive time seriesmultiplicative time seriesseasonalitytime series analysisdemandNew!
Due Diligence Assessment ModelAssessment of new business ventures across ten different dimensionsfinancemodeltemplateexcel440 remove_red_eyefreeby Matt Evans
Enterprise SaaS and SME/Consumer Fundraising Excel ModelFor large, complex SaaS companies with enterprise, consumer and SME customers looking to fundraise.modelinvestorsstartupsventure capitalsaastemplateexcelenterprisefundraise197 remove_red_eye$299.00by Alexander Jarvis
Startup Financial Forecasting Excel Model TemplateThis tool will help you craft the financial forecast that will be a part of your pitch.projectionsfinanceforecaststartupinvestorspitchingquantitative234 remove_red_eyefreeby Guy Kawasaki
Any questions on French Presidential Elections Forecast Model - 2017 2nd Round?
The user community and author are here to help. Go ahead!