Oil & Gas Financial Model - Dynamic 10 Year Forecast
Originally published: 20/10/2021 15:54
Last version published: 27/11/2023 10:22
Publication number: ELQ-65109-5
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Oil & Gas Financial Model - Dynamic 10 Year Forecast

Financial Model providing forecast and valuation analysis of an upstream Oil & Gas Project.

Description
Financial Model providing forecast and valuation analysis of an upstream Oil & Gas Project.The main purpose of the model is to enable users to get a solid understanding of the financial feasibility of the project and to evaluate the return to investors.

The model includes calculations of production per segment (Oil, Gas, NGL), commodities prices & hedging assumptions, capital expenditures and operating expenses, financing through Debt & Equity, DCF & Project Valuation including sensitivity analysis and project return metrics (IRR, NPV, MOIC, Payback, etc.)

The model is dynamic and allows users to select the desired forecasted Years (1 to 10). Output Reports & Charts are dynamically updated based on the selected forecast period (see examples of the dynamic functionality in the available screenshots).

The structure of the template follows Financial Modeling Best Practices principles and is fully customizable.

Model Structure• Setup Assumptions
This section is used to input all the assumptions for the project:
– Project General Info
– Production per Segment (Oil, Gas, NGL)
– Prices & Hedging per Segment using Scenario Analysis
– OpEx & CapEx Assumptions
– Financing Assumptions
– Common Shares, Share Price, Valuation & Exit Assumptions

• Annual Financial Statements
Presentation of company's annual financials using a 3 Statement Financial Model including supporting schedules for Production, Debt, Equity and PP&E

• Breakeven Analysis
Used to determine the stage at which the project will be profitable

• Key Project Metrics
Summary of various Project Metrics, Financial Ratios and Valuation Ratios

• Business Performance DashboardPresentation of Project results through sophisticated charts & graphs

• DCF, Business Valuation & Payback
Includes DCF valuation based on Forecasted CFs, WACC, Enterprise & Equity Value, Current vs Target Share Price, Sensitivity Analysis, Payback Period Analysis

• Investor Returns (Waterfall)
A PE Distribution Waterfall Model, including an 80/20 split and a GP catch up assumption.

• Project Executive Summary
Professional Executive Summary (can be used for investment decisions) containing all of the high-level relevant information for review and is designed to be easy to read, print, and save to pdf. It includes Project General Info, Sources, and Uses of Cash, Key Performance and Valuation Metrics, Financing and Investor return metrics.Instructions on the use of the model are included in the Excel file.

Help & Support
Committed to high quality and customer satisfaction, all our templates follow best practice financial modeling principles and are thoughtfully and carefully designed, keeping the user’s needs and comfort in mind.
No matter if you have no experience or you are well versed in finance, accounting, and the use of Microsoft Excel, our professional financial models are the right tools to boost your business operations!
If you however experience any difficulty while using this template and you are not able to find the appropriate guidance in the provided instructions, please feel free to contact us for assistance.If you need a template customized for your business requirements, please e-mail us and provide a brief explanation of your specific needs.

This Best Practice includes
Excel Financial Model

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Further information

Enable users to get a solid understanding of the financial feasibility of an upstream Oil & Gas project and to evaluate the return to investors.


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