Monte Carlo P&L Simulation Excel Model Template
  • Monte Carlo P&L Simulation Excel Model Template
  • Monte Carlo P&L Simulation Excel Model Template
  • Monte Carlo P&L Simulation Excel Model Template
  • Monte Carlo P&L Simulation Excel Model Template
  • Monte Carlo P&L Simulation Excel Model Template
  • Monte Carlo P&L Simulation Excel Model Template
  • Monte Carlo P&L Simulation Excel Model Template
  • Monte Carlo P&L Simulation Excel Model Template
  • Monte Carlo P&L Simulation Excel Model Template
  • Monte Carlo P&L Simulation Excel Model Template
  • Monte Carlo P&L Simulation Excel Model Template
  • Monte Carlo P&L Simulation Excel Model Template
  • Monte Carlo P&L Simulation Excel Model Template
  • Monte Carlo P&L Simulation Excel Model Template
  • Monte Carlo P&L Simulation Excel Model Template
  • Monte Carlo P&L Simulation Excel Model Template
  • Monte Carlo P&L Simulation Excel Model Template
  • Monte Carlo P&L Simulation Excel Model Template
Originally published: 11/01/2019 11:34
Last version published: 12/03/2019 08:02
Publication number: ELQ-64067-3
View all versions & Certificate
certified

Monte Carlo P&L Simulation Excel Model Template

Monte Carlo simulation model to project the distribution of P&L results for a business based on rev & cost probabilities

Description
PURPOSE OF MODEL

Generic and easy to use Monte Carlo Simulation Excel Model to project the distribution of Profit & Loss P&L (Income Statement) results for a business based on probability inputs for different revenue and cost drivers.
The model allows the user to project P&L results across 5 years for up to 3 revenue streams (including separate variable cost inputs for each) and 2 fixed cost categories.


KEY OUTPUTS

The model calculates results over and over for up to 500 iterations each time using a different set of random values. These random values, in turn, pull through input assumptions with frequencies for each linked to the input probabilities. The resulting outputs comprise of:
- Mean Net profit and loss result
- Key ratios and charts on the mean net profit and loss result
- Table and chart showing distributions of Revenues, Gross Profit and net Profit across the 5 projection years (from minimum to maximum) on a total business basis
- Table and chart analysing gross profit outputs by revenue stream


KEY INPUTS

The Model allows the user to input possible outcomes and their respective probabilities for the following key drivers:
- Year 1 sales volume;
- Year on year growth rate in sales volumes;
- Year 1 variable cost per unit sold
- Year on Year growth rate in variable costs per unit
- Year1-5 fixed cost amount.


MODEL STRUCTURE

The model contains, 6 tabs split into input ('i_'), calculation ('c_'), output ('o_’) and system tabs. The only tabs to be populated by the user are the input tabs ('i_Setup' and 'i_Assumptions'). The calculation tab uses the user-defined inputs to calculate and produce the template outputs presented in 'o_Results'. System tabs include
- a 'Front Sheet' with a disclaimer, methodology description, instructions and contents; and
- a Checks dashboard with a summary of checks by tab.


KEY FEATURES

Other key features / details of this model include the following:
- The model follows best practice financial modelling guideline and includes instructions, line item explanations, checks and input validations;
- The model allows the user to model 3 separate revenue streams on a Price x Volume basis;
- Costs are split into: variable and fixed for better driver-based forecasting;
- Revenue and fixed cost descriptions are fully customisable;
- Business name, currency and starting projection year are customisable;
- Results are presented on a yearly basis with a maximum of 5 projection years;
- The model includes a checks dashboard which summarises all the checks included in the various tabs making it easier to identify any errors;
- The model includes checks and input validations to help ensure input fields are populated accurately.


ABOUT PROJECTIFY

We are a small team of financial modelling professionals with experience working in Big 4 Business Modelling teams and strong experience supporting businesses with their financial planning and decision support needs. Our aim is to provide robust and easy-to-use tools that follow best practice financial modelling guidelines and assist individuals and businesses with common financial planning and analysis processes.

We are keen to make sure our customers are fully satisfied with the tools / models they purchase and will be more than happy to assist with any questions or support required following or in advance of purchase.
We are also always keen to receive feedback so please do let us know what you think of our products/offering by sending us a message or submitting a review.

This business tool includes
1 Excel Monte Carlo Model

Acquire business license for $25.00

Add to cart

Add to bookmarks

Discuss

Further information

To understand the distribution of possible P&L results for a business based on specified probabilities of cost and revenue outcomes occuring

Reviews


keyboard_arrow_leftkeyboard_arrow_right

More tools from Projectify

keyboard_arrow_leftkeyboard_arrow_right

Discussion feed for Monte Carlo P&L Simulation Excel Model Template

The user community and author are here to help. Go ahead!

  • Vita L
    Hi! Can it be expanded for 20-30 years project?
    arrow_drop_uparrow_drop_downReply reply
    • Projectify
      Hi Vita, the current downloadable version of the tool is set to a maximum of 5 projection years. Please do send us a message with some detail of what you are after and we can see whether we can modify this tool or whether we have any other tools that better match the requirements
      arrow_drop_uparrow_drop_downReply reply
    please wait...