Likelihood that a Troubled Firm Will Fail
Originally published: 12/07/2016 10:55
Publication number: ELQ-86518-1
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Likelihood that a Troubled Firm Will Fail

This model quantifies the probability of failure for troubled firms.

Description
The user must define the following inputs:
- Coupon Rate
- Maturity of bond
- Riskfree rate
- Market price of bond


Note: this model is being shared with the authorization of Professor Aswath Damodaran from NYU Stern Business School (www.damodaran.com)

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1 Excel Model

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Further information

Outputs:
- Probability of distress (Annual)
- Probability of distress over 5 years
- Probability of distress over 10 years


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