Solar Farm Financial Model 5 Year 3 Statement
Originally published: 07/05/2024 11:52
Last version published: 03/02/2025 16:21
Publication number: ELQ-84958-7
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Solar Farm Financial Model 5 Year 3 Statement

5 Year 3 Statement Financial Model providing forecasting and profitability analysis of a Solar Farm.

Description
A financial model for a Solar Farm typically captures all the critical financial metrics and revenue streams while integrating the operating and capital expenditure involved in running the business. Including Income Statement, Cash Flow Statement, and Balance Sheet, with the specified revenue streams:
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1. Key Components of the Solar Farm Financial Model
This solar farm financial model evaluates the financial viability of the project by forecasting revenues, expenses, cash flows, and overall profitability. It includes the following major components:
Inputs (Assumptions)
- Technical Assumptions
- Installed Capacity (MW)
- Capacity Factor (%)
- Degradation Rate (annual, 0.5%)
- Annual Generated Energy (MWh)
- Revenue Assumptions
- PPA Rate (per MWh, in $ or local currency)
- Escalation Rate (% per year, if applicable)
- Other Revenue Sources (e.g., renewable energy credits, subsidies)
- Cost Assumptions
- Capital Expenditures (CapEx)
- Operating Expenses (OpEx): maintenance, insurance, land lease, etc.
- Debt Assumptions: interest rate, term, and loan-to-value ratio
- Tax and Financial Assumptions
- Corporate Tax Rate (%)
- Depreciation Schedule (straight-line, MACRS, etc.)
- Discount Rate (% for NPV/IRR calculations)
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2. Income Statement
The income statement forecasts profitability and includes the following:
Revenue
1. Generated MWh: Energy production is calculated as:
\[
\text{Generated MWh} = \text{Installed Capacity (MW)} \times \text{Capacity Factor} \times \text{Hours in a Year (8760)}
\]
Adjust for degradation over time.

2. PPA Revenue:
\[
\text{Revenue} = \text{Generated MWh} \times \text{PPA Rate}
\]
- Add escalation if the PPA terms include price increases over time.
- Consider additional revenue from renewable energy credits or incentives.
Expenses
- Operating Costs: Includes maintenance, land lease, and insurance.
- Depreciation: Depreciation of CapEx over the asset's useful life.
- Financing Costs: Interest payments on loans.
Profitability Metrics
- Gross Profit = Revenue - Operating Costs
- EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) = Gross Profit - Depreciation
- Net Income = EBIT - Interest - Taxes
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3. Cash Flow Statement
The cash flow statement tracks the cash inflows and outflows, ensuring liquidity for the solar farm:
Operating Activities
- Cash Inflows: Revenue from PPA.
- Cash Outflows: Operating expenses, taxes, and insurance.
Investing Activities
- CapEx: Initial investment in land, panels, inverters, and other infrastructure.
Financing Activities
- Loan Proceeds: Debt financing raised for the project.
- Repayment of Loans: Scheduled principal and interest payments.
- Equity Contributions: Funds from investors.
Net Cash Flow
\[
\text{Net Cash Flow} = \text{Operating Cash Flow} + \text{Investing Cash Flow} + \text{Financing Cash Flow}
\]
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4. Balance Sheet
The balance sheet tracks the project’s assets, liabilities, and equity over time:
Assets
- Current Assets: Cash, accounts receivable (e.g., from PPA payments).
- Non-Current Assets: Solar farm equipment (net of depreciation), land value.
Liabilities
- Current Liabilities: Short-term loan repayments.
- Long-Term Liabilities: Outstanding debt for financing the solar farm.
Equity
- Retained Earnings: Accumulated profits reinvested into the project.
- Shareholder Equity: Contributions from equity investors.
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5. Financial KPIs
To evaluate project feasibility, include the following metrics:
- IRR (Internal Rate of Return): Measures return on investment.
- NPV (Net Present Value): Determines the value of future cash flows discounted to the present.
- DSCR (Debt Service Coverage Ratio): Indicates the project's ability to service debt:
\[
\text{DSCR} = \frac{\text{Net Operating Income}}{\text{Debt Payments}}
\]
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6. Detailed Model Sections
Generated MWh
A separate section calculates the annual energy production:
- Year 1: Based on Installed Capacity and Capacity Factor.
- Subsequent Years: Adjust for degradation.
PPA
- Define the PPA terms, including rate ($/MWh), escalation rate, and contract duration.
- Incorporate revenue from other sources (e.g., renewable energy credits).
Revenue
Combine revenues from PPA and other sources for the total income forecast.
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This structure provides a comprehensive overview of a solar farm’s financial model.

This Best Practice includes
1 Solar Farm Finance Model Excel Template 1 Solar Farm Walkthrough PDF

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It eliminates the need to create a solar farm financial model from scratch and includes all common Solar Farm actual and projection components.


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