APV and multiple valuation of Global Blood Therapeutics
Originally published: 08/02/2024 12:47
Publication number: ELQ-78120-1
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APV and multiple valuation of Global Blood Therapeutics

APV and multiple valuation of Global Blood Therapeutics (acquired by Pfizer)

Description
Unlock the full potential of biopharmaceutical financial analysis with our in-depth APV and Multiples Valuation Model, meticulously tailored for the recent acquisition case of Global Blood Therapeutics by Pfizer. This robust tool is an indispensable asset for finance professionals, investment analysts, and corporate strategists who demand precision and depth in their valuation exercises.

Key Outputs:
  • APV Valuation: A precise Adjusted Present Value calculation that meticulously accounts for the value of tax shields and the cost of unlevered equity, providing a clear picture of GBT's intrinsic value post-acquisition.
  • Profit & Loss Statement: Detailed forecasts and historical analysis of GBT's profitability, capturing revenue streams and cost structures with granularity.
  • Cash Flow Statement: Comprehensive cash flow analysis, offering insights into operational efficiency and financial health.
  • Sensitivity Analysis: Dynamic models that test valuation outcomes against key economic and financial variables, illustrating the robustness of the valuation.

Assumptions:
  • Model Assumptions: Clearly defined and logically structured assumptions, serving as the bedrock for the model's projections and valuations.
  • Sales Projections: Data-driven forecasts of GBT's product sales, underpinned by a deep understanding of market trends and therapeutic area demands.
  • Product Prices: Insightful analysis of pricing strategies and their impact on revenue.
  • Health Expenditures: Projections of healthcare spending trends and their implications for GBT's market opportunity.
  • Cost of Capital: Rigorous computation of GBT's WACC, reflecting the unique risks of the biopharmaceutical industry.
  • Beta Analysis: A thorough examination of GBT's beta, calibrated to the biotech sector's volatility.
  • Market Risk Premium: An evaluation of the additional return expected by investors for taking on higher risk, crucial for accurate discounting.
  • Terminal Value Growth Rate: A long-term perspective on GBT's growth potential, capturing the essence of its value proposition.

Valuation Multiples:
  • Margins and Multiples: A comparative analysis employing industry-specific multiples to ensure market-aligned valuations.
  • Premiums Paid: Historical data on acquisition premiums, providing context to Pfizer's purchase price.
  • Comparable Companies: A selection of peer companies for benchmarking, enhancing the relevance of the valuation.
  • Precedent Transactions: Analysis of similar transactions, offering insights into market trends and valuation norms.

This Best Practice includes
Adjusted present value method, Comparable company valuation, Precendent transaction analysis

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